Interest Rate Risk in Credit Markets

Interest Rate Risk in Credit Markets

Recent events have stimulated interest in the joint behavior of prices and quantities in credit markets. Data sources such as the Federal Reserve Board’s Flow of Funds Accounts (FFA) provide statistics on a rich set of credit market instruments. However, it is challenging to inter­ pret such data using economic models that speak to the allocation of risk across agents, such as households or int...

Dynamic Interest Rate and Credit Risk Models

Interest Rates in Trade Credit Markets

There is evidence that suppliers have private information about their customers’ credit risk. Yet, interest rates in trade credit markets are usually industry-not-firm specific. Why? If the demand for intermediate products is inelastic, suppliers should raise interest rates until they reach their customers’ outside option. By definition, this outside option cannot reflect information that is pr...

Nonlinear Filtering in Models for Interest-Rate and Credit Risk

We consider filtering problems that arise in Markovian factor models for the term structure of interest rates and for credit risk. Investors are supposed to have only incomplete information about the factors and so their current state has to be inferred/filtered from observable financial quantities. Our main goal is the pricing of derivative instruments in the interest rate and credit risk cont...

Integrating Interest Rate Risk in Credit Portfolio Models

A typical shortcoming of most current credit portfolio models is the lack of a stochastic modeling of risk factors, such as interest rates or credit spreads, during the revaluation process at the risk horizon. Within the simple credit risk model underlying the Internal Ratings-based approach of Basel II with incorporated correlated interest rate risk the effect which results from neglecting the...